The Chinese communist party in international politics in absolute and temporal terms china’s economic growth is political and now also its military influence over the last 30 years has little or no precedence never before has a country positioned itself.
at the forefront of world politics and economics in such a short time evidently this has geostrategic and economic consequences. at the global level the emergence of china has been positive for the world we are talking about a gigantic new market and a decisive contribution to an enormous expansion of the purchasing power of the world’s population.
nevertheless the type of regime that pools the strings in china poses many challenges for countries such as the united states the uk japan south korea australia or even due to its demographic size and proximity to india.
it is precisely for this reason that several years ago some mechanisms were put in place if they can be called mechanisms whose mission is to unite the liberal democracies of the asia pacific region to support each other and avoid falling under the thumb of beijing instruments such as the quad.
this is an organization a tool that could become a regional counterweight to china’s power and influence if it were to fully develop although the truth is that today that seems a long way off quad alliance of us japan india and australia is part of biden’s plan to contain china but some experts aren’t so sure cnn so do you want to find out.
what the quad is all about and what it consists of as well as what opportunities it offers of course you do so let’s get cracking the asia pacific four if the north atlantic treaty organization nato was created as a counter to the soviet union in europe the quad was created to counter china well at least that was the initial idea reality is always more complicated later on the quad is an informal association initiated in 2007.
And formed by four countries the usa india japan and australia an association with other countries such as singapore south korea new zealand and vietnam who have occasionally collaborated however we are talking about something very different from nato which is a formal structured co-financed and eminently military organization.
today the quad is far from being anything like that it is more like the embryo of a nato for the asia pacific which however has not yet come to full gestation so what are the problems the lack of agreement and compromise between countries and the many economic interests that would come into play at the event of creating a let’s call it anti-china block in a region that currently moves like or not in the wake of the asian gian.
In other words the current quad is a kind of organized forum where its four members negotiate and agree on political military and security issues but why exactly was the quad conceived in 2007 well you see the idea came from the then japanese prime minister shinzo abe.
who had the goal of creating something like an asian arc of democracy in other words an alliance of the leading free and democratic countries in the asia pacific region at the same time it repositioned japan as a leading power and,
it has to be said not simply a passive one so what happy had in mind was to establish an alliance that would serve as a counterweight to chinese power an alliance that would include countries such as south korea mongolia india and australia among many others however this never materialized and although the quad was established in 2007 comprising the four countries mentioned above things didn’t really get off to a great start for example australia withdrew from the quad in february 2008.
because the then prime minister labour’s kevin rudd wanted closer ties with china to boost bilateral economic relations besides the land of kangaroos and koalas was not too keen on getting involved in a formal multilateral alliance it preferred to negotiate its own bilateral agreements something that pretty obviously went against the idea of the quad itself with the result that
it ceased to make sense and was deactivated so to speak entering a long kind of dormancy from which it was not to awaken until almost 10 years later in 2017.
that year at an izane summit in manila shinzo abe who is still prime minister of japan managed to revive the quad with a quadrilateral agreement with india’s narendra modi australia’s malcolm turnbull and the united states donald trump since then the quad is still there although when all is said and done with a currently very low profile.
it is generally considered that the 2007 quad was a good idea but kind of ahead of its time but that now in 2021 it makes much more sense what’s more there is already talk of a quad plus or a quad 2.0.
and extended a renewed version of the quad with more participating countries and more strategic implications an idea that is underway that could finally materialize into something concrete very soon despite the differences in perspectives and opinions the one thing that is clear is that the quad of the future won’t be the one envisioned by shinzo abe and so what are we referring to then well check this out.
A NATO for asia check out these statements this is not a rivalry between the united states and china this is for the soul of the world this is about whether there will be a world that operates on a rules-based international order system or one that’s dominated by a coercive totalitarian regime like the one in china mike pompeo ex-secretary of state of the united states of america pompeo.
mike pompeo the most visible face of the trump administration in asia quickly became a staunch supporter of the quad he did so to the point that he went so far as to want the group to move towards an asian nato that would attract more and more countries now is this even feasible would it be good for the region and would it make any sense well it turns out that on these issues there are opinions to suit all tastes.
on the one hand there are those who think that china and its power should not be fought militarily because its influence in the world is merely economic and commercial and not military china’s way of extending its tentacles is in addition to trade with all kinds of countries through direct investments particularly in southeast asia africa and latin america surely the greatest exponent of this type of strategy would be the one belt one road initiative which we’ve already spoken about here on visual policy of course the western powers and the asian countries aligned with them are not so sure at this stage that they can compete with china in that league and,
neither is it clear to them that the military emergency that we will soon be talking about on this channel so don’t forget to subscribe is not going to be the biggest challenge of all sooner or later this is precisely why trump or rather mike pompeo wanted to turn the quad into a military alliance similar to what nato is in europe just keep in mind that if this were to be carried out it’s potential members which in addition to the four founding members could include countries such as south korea and singapore have a combined annual military budget four times larger than that of the people’s republic of china.
but wait just a moment because it doesn’t seem like an easy thing to accomplish even among the four current members there are many disagreements india for example is unwilling to participate in such an alliance that kind of nato mentality has never been india’s if it has been there in asia.
s jaishankar external affairs minister of india also we cannot forget that we are talking about asia pacific region a region where countries are as open as they are suspicious of each other for example it is hard to imagine a scenario in which japan and south korea integrate their armed forces into the kind of asian nato sharing military infrastructure intelligence and even rights of passage through their territory exactly the same could be said for many other countries in south east asia so no we’re not exactly talking about an easy path here so how far could the quad really go well the safest thing to do and perhaps for the moment the most reasonable is for it to become a political economic and commercial alliance after all if china uses economics and trade as its main weapon of influence.
why not use the same tools to retaliate this was more or less the idea of former us president barack obama with the trans-pacific partnership agreement or tpp which was to create a giant free trade area between countries not allied with china.
its members included all quad members except india as well as others such as vietnam malaysia and singapore the problem is that trump withdrew from the tpp in january 2017 and the agreement failed to achieve its goal to serve as a counterweight to china and unite the asia pacific region around a free trade area with rules driven and overseen by the united states
now things have changed and therefore the white house encompasses a very different foreign policy approach and this can be exactly where the quad may bean alternate opportunity to regain u.s presence in the asia pacific and build a club of regional democracies cooperating outside chinese pressures for the instant.
u.s president joe biden seems enthusiastic about the thoughtand needsto market this in any way he can to make up for lost time within the region whether or not all this involves fruition means to be seen but for the instant the quad has already begun to serve a purpose in fact in march 2021 the quad heard its first formal meeting the quad aims to extend vaccine production to 1 billion doses for geographical area voice of america.
u.s president joe biden and therefore the prime ministers of japan india and australia discuss strategies to counter china’s rising influence in the indo-pacific region including an offer to match beijing’s ambitious vaccine diplomacy it absolutely wasa gathering that served to make a collaborative strategy and develop a sort of vaccine diplomacy parallel to the chinese.
one it would be the group’s first formal and coordinated joint action this is often a milestone that could be the quad’s first operational an experiment during which tasks would even be distributed taking advantage of the strengths of every ofthe member indian manufacturing u.s technology japanese and american financing and australian logistics we committed to delivering up to 1 billion doses jake sullivan u.s national security advisor.
the question is will this sortof sentimental diplomacy be enough well perhaps not on its own but whatever could be combined with intelligence agreements we don’t seem to be talking about anything far-fetched here after allit’s something that already exists it absolutely was created within the 1940s to counter the intelligence of the ussr,
and perhaps it’d not be crazy for the quad to become a part of it what are we talking about we’re talking about the five eyes that’s right the five eyes that stare at every movement during this region of the planet so does one want to grasp exactly what five eyes consists of if so check this out the five all-seeing eyes as if it were straight from a science fiction movie there’sa worldwide intelligence alliance formed by five allied countries.
whose mission is to anticipate the movements of their countries hostile to theirinterests the five eyes alliance it’s the world’s oldest intelligence alliance comprising the u. s. the united australia canada and new zealand at the time of its inception in 1946 the idea was to form a coalition that through the exchange of intelligence information would enable these five countries to decipher the communications of the eastern communist block,
and thus anticipate its actions obviously today’s rules are pretty different because the communist bloc no exists therefore the five eyes today focus mainly on russia DPRK and of course china in fact china blamed the member countries of this alliance for the kind of crusade that was launched against huawei in 2018.
and for the company’s alleged exchanges of confidential information with the chinese government and the theft of military technology so why is that this important well if in addition to becoming a diplomatic political and commercial alliance the quad were to be integrated along the lines of the five eyes model the damage to china in terms of influence might be much greater the world’s most powerful could share what they know about china with one another study plans and operations to make sure security and act together to preempt potential threats from beijing doesn’t it seem to you that this may undermine the chinese communist party’s ability to play the sport or a minimum of make it deliberate before acting it doesn’t sound sort of a bad idea however i’m sorry to inform you that it doesn’t seem very likely that japan and india will manage to integrate into the intelligence alliance with the identical level of cohesion because the other four member countries in any case
these are a number ofthe most moves with which the us seeks to balance its presence within the region and be a counterweight to china and now it’s over to you are doingyou think that the quad alliance might be effective in countering china within the asia-pacific region does one think the quad should be a diplomatic and commercial alliance or should it aim to be more of an asian nato including intelligence integration.